Week 7 was a vastly important week in college football and for the Heisman Trophy Odds race.
Un-ranked South Carolina defeated #3 Georgia, #6 Oklahoma beat #11 Texas, #1 Alabama ran away from #24 Texas A&M, #10 Penn State defeated #17 Iowa, and #5 LSU dismantled #7 Florida’s defense, scoring 42 points en route to a huge victory.
The Top 25 rankings have been reset, and now LSU is #2 behind Alabama and Clemson has dropped to number three. What goes unseen though, is just how much this affected the Heisman Trophy race.
With Joe Burrow dominating Florida’s defense, he has certainly cemented himself into the Heisman Trophy top three, and the odds show just that. Currently, Tua Tagovailoa is still the favorite at +105 on FanDuel Sportsbook and +110 on DraftKings Sportsbook, but Burrow is right behind him at +250 on DraftKings Sportsbook, and Jalen Hurts is still +450 on FD, and +400 on DK. This Heisman race is heating up PA online sportsbooks.
LATEST HEISMAN ODDS AT FANDUEL & DRAFTKINGS
|FD Heisman Odds||DK Heisman Odds||Better Odds|
|Chuba Hubbard||10000||Not Listed|
|Kelly Bryant||10000||Not Listed|
|Kennedy Brooks||10000||Not Listed|
|Shea Patterson||10000||Not Listed|
|Tylan Wallace||10000||Not Listed|
|Jamie Newman||10000||Not Listed|
|AJ Dillon||15000||Not Listed|
|Justyn Ross||15000||Not Listed|
Key Heisman Movers
Joe Burrow, QB, LSU
Last Week: +500 on FD, +300 on DK
This Week: +410 on FD, +250 on DK
The only question some college football fans, analysts, and experts wondered about Joe Burrow was simple. Could he do it against an elite defense?
Burrow threw just 24 passes against Florida, but completed 21 of them for 293 yards and three touchdowns. He had his highest QBR of the season (98.1), and even ran for 43 yards on six carries. Burrow has fully joined the Heisman Trophy conversation, and the odds reflect it.
LSU has scored at least 42 points in all six games so far this season, and really only have two tests remaining on their schedule. OCT26, LSU has Auburn at home, but NOV9 is the big one. LSU at Alabama, likely #1 vs #2, and likely #1 vs #2 in the Heisman race as well.
A quick comparison:
Burrow: 2157 yards, 25 TD, 3 INT, 2 rushing TD
Tagovailoa: 2011 yards, 27 TD, 1 INT, 2 rushing TD
While Tagovailoa is the overwhelming favorite, Burrow has a chance to close the odds gap on November 9th.
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin
Last Week: +950 on FD, +700 on DK
This Week: +1300 on FD, +900 on DK
Taylor has dropped, likely out of the Heisman race due to the incredible numbers by the top three quarterbacks. Taylor’s 80 yards and two scores against Michigan State just was not enough to impress the sportsbooks, and his odds have slipped quite a bit. On FanDuel Sportsbook, he has slid to +1300…which basically takes him out of the “race” for the time being given the quarterbacks in front of him.
Taylor is still having a terrific season for the 6-0 Badgers with 825 yards rushing, 14 touchdowns on the ground and four more through the air. But with Tagovailoa, Burrow, and Hurts continuing on their “video game numbers” pace, Taylor will continue to fall behind.
Three Man Race?
After Week 7’s big games, it seems like it is just a three-man race now.
|Player||FD Heisman Odds||DK Heisman Odds||Better Odds|
|Tua Tagovailoa||105||110||DraftKings Sportsbook|
|Joe Burrow||410||250||FanDuel Sportsbook|
|Jalen Hurts||450||400||FanDuel Sportsbook|
|Player||School||Passing Yards||Passing Touchdowns||Rushing Yards||Rushing TDs||Total Touchdowns||Team Success|
|Tua Tagovailoa||Alabama||2,011||27||35||2||29||#1 6-0|
|Joe Burrow||LSU||2,157||25||105||2||27||#2 6-0|
|Jalen Hurts||Oklahoma||1,758||17||630||8||25||#5 6-0|
As you can see, Tagovailoa and Burrow are extremely similar. The only advantage Tagovailoa has right now is total touchdowns, which is just a two-score difference. In addition, Alabama is #1 in the country, compared to LSU’s #2 ranking.
Now, Tagovailoa’s schedule has been much easier than Burrow’s to this point.
- Alabama has faced Duke, SCAR, Ole Miss, TAMU and other lesser-talented programs. Alabama faces LSU and Auburn this season, but the rest of the schedule is not tough.
- LSU has faced Texas and Florida already, and still has Auburn and Alabama to go. Based on strength of schedule at the end, the advantage should go to Burrow if the stats are close.
The battle between Burrow and Tagovailoa looks like it will certainly come down to how each performs against each other on November 9th.
As for Hurts, he is far behind in the passing department but is vastly ahead in the rushing department. Yes, Oklahoma’s schedule is weaker than both LSU and Alabama, but Hurts’ team is undefeated as well and is projected to stay that way.
If Hurts were to accrue some serious passing stats in the next month or so, he will certainly be in the mix for the Heisman race as well. His odds are very similar to Burrow on FanDuel Sportsbook, so be sure to keep that in mind as he pads his stats against the West Virginia’s of the world.
This Heisman Trophy race will be one for the ages, as all three quarterbacks could truly make a case for the award. Especially if Hurts can have some incredible games against some poor Big 12 defenses in the next month.
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